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Inside the Fed’s Most Contentious Jackson Hole Meeting

Markets Predict Fed's Quietest Year as Rate Cuts Look Unlikely


A stark economic warning from Moody’s Analytics reveals that two-thirds of U.S. states are either in recession, at high risk, or treading water – representing about 66% of America’s GDP. Chief economist Mark Zandi identifies 22 states already in trouble, including major economies like Massachusetts and Washington, while only 16 states continue expanding. The recession probability stands at 49% for the next year, with the economy most vulnerable in late 2025. Red flags are mounting: over half of U.S. industries are cutting jobs, and recent employment revisions show June’s job growth was actually just 14,000, not the initially reported 147,000.



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